Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 5.843677 6.410892 7.034607 7.776136 8.640046 9.622674 10.836376
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 5.166940 5.975889 6.940969 8.198428 9.826743 11.913933 14.880245
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.675776 5.593444 6.748214 8.350592 10.591114 13.741661 18.778894
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.220575 5.167090 6.403273 8.198259 10.856932 14.878707 21.979852
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.887569 4.849660 6.145179 8.099738 11.143746 16.064030 25.622703
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.590952 4.545983 5.863444 7.913523 11.242044 16.938049 29.007490
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.383562 4.343431 5.698458 7.871351 11.548743 18.222942 33.766208
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.208709 4.170133 5.555655 7.839121 11.856071 19.571892 39.359024
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.109450 4.095987 5.550379 8.022059 12.567628 21.908675 48.982664
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.920473 3.875776 5.302016 7.768144 12.420903 22.373127 53.528757
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.750170 3.672951 5.065590 7.509859 12.225738 22.681339 57.858243
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.620111 3.523211 4.902170 7.362251 12.227759 23.462268 64.631760
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.503681 3.395327 4.776816 7.292757 12.429692 24.944027 76.638069
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.480646 3.411456 4.889029 7.675318 13.686721 29.822322 114.607701
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.414310 3.354261 4.873196 7.813179 14.431449 33.648217 159.907202
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.307648 3.225782 4.725539 7.675121 14.493479 35.325675 196.297373
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.217884 3.119583 4.608718 7.585768 14.660503 37.491659 251.512232
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.122963 3.000012 4.460453 7.416746 14.593597 38.782319 307.674979
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.054786 2.921075 4.379029 7.378443 14.867511 41.640899 428.423875
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.992819 2.849289 4.305581 7.349163 15.162772 44.834219 633.170161
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.961911 2.827856 4.321796 7.515284 16.053371 51.602657 1373.356298
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.880366 2.716772 4.165955 7.284663 15.725875 51.900652 1784.026333
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.803020 2.610068 4.013283 7.049719 15.351794 51.798980 2275.361388